THE ELLIOTT DAILY MARKET COMMENTARY
Tuesday's Market commentary
Yesterday saw the markets drop to and thru our `targets`. They
had no trouble reaching them ! "Backing and filling" turned into
a market dumping, and doing a bear engulfing candle pattern for the
DJ-30
Today look for continued selling in the Indexes.
The DJ-30 has resistance at 11,500, and support at 11,316, and 11,291.
SP-500 has resistance at 1278.80 and support at 1261 and 1247.
QQQQ has resistance at 46.99 and support at 46.15 and 45.90.
Volatility increased yesterday with our up signal call on the VIX.
Our target is 21.43 today.
The volume should start to dry up on stocks and on the trading exchanges
this week leaving individual stocks open to large swings from smaller
groups of traders.
Natural Gas, UNG, last night gave an up signal from the large sell off
of the last two months. Look for Natural Gas stocks to have very good up
moves this morning right from the open.
TODAY'S MARKET, Wednesday, August 27, 2008.
We got a split market between the DJ-30 and the QQQQ's yesterday.
Yesterday saw Indexes retest the lows of Monday, with market bounces
there.
Natural Gas, UNG made a good pop to the upside and should continue up
today.
NGAS, and CHK as well as other natural gas stocks moved on the up
signal.
Today we see up signals from our low market volume signals yesterday.
Per our "Live Chat" last night we are looking at up signals for
the Indexes in the morning from our overnight "Hockey Stick"
signals.
Unfortunately the volume continues to drop making stock volatility
greater as we go into the holiday weekend. It also makes our technicals
less reliable. Caution should be the watch word for the rest of the
week.
This market bottom call we have made this past July is NOT THE BOTTOM,
in my opinion, but a oversold bounce in a down market that has plenty of
road to travel in a down move yet to come. This bear market should
challenge some 2000 bear market lows.
GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC REPORTS
Aug 27 8:30 AM Durable Orders <http://biz.yahoo.com/c/terms/durord.html>
Jul - 0.5% 0.1% 0.8% -
Aug 27 10:35 AM Crude Inventories 08/23 - NA NA 9390K -
Aug 28 8:30 AM Chain Deflator-Prel. Q2 - 1.1% NA 1.1% -
Aug 28 8:30 AM GDP <http://biz.yahoo.com/c/terms/gdp.html> -Prel. Q2 -
2.8% 2.7% 1.9% -
Aug 28 8:30 AM Initial Claims <http://biz.yahoo.com/c/terms/claims.html>
08/23 - NA NA 432K -
Aug 29 8:30 AM Personal Income
<http://biz.yahoo.com/c/terms/income.html> Jul - -0.3% -0.1% 0.1% -
Aug 29 8:30 AM Personal Spending Jul - 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% -
Aug 29 9:45 AM Chicago PMI <http://biz.yahoo.com/c/terms/napms.html>
Aug - 50.5 49.9 50.8 -
Aug 29 10:00 AM Mich Sentiment-Rev. Aug - 63.0 62.3 NA
SECTOR MOVERS Tuesday
Oil and Gas; NGAS, CHK. UNG.
Hotel Motel; BEE, HST, LHO, SHO
MOBO OVER THE 50 STOCKS
PMG
RMBS
LOJN
LFC
ACLI
PVA
DVN
CLMT
OXY
STOCKS < $2
ANPI
KERX
BBX
BCON
ISV
TTP
TGC
SNAP BACKS
GNK
MON
NRG
PDLI
DBA
FCL
BEE
PBR
BEAR BREAK OF 50 SMA AND MOBO
FLY
XIDE
EXPE
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Sat 10/4 Venice Italy; depart 5PM
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