THE ELLIOTT DAILY MARKET COMMENTARY
Yesterday, Wednesday's Market commentary A homerun with bases loaded ! Yesterday's market reversal call for an `rally' caught most market traders on the wrong side of the market. Today we look for follow thru of this hard turn to the upside. I am looking at this as a start or a wave 3, with Monday's lows being the wave 2, failed new low.
Today look for the DJ-30 to hit the 60/50 at 11,426, our first resistance then 11,450, followed by the 11,697 high. Sp-500 is thru the 60/50 with support at 1261, 1250, and resistance target next at 1273, and 1290. QQQQ is thru the 50/60 with support at the 44.94 and resistance at 45.94.
This market bottom call we have made this past week is NOT THE BOTTOM, in my opinion, but a oversold bounce in a down market that has plenty of road to travel in a down move yet to come. This bear market should challenge some 2000 bear market lows.
TODAY'S MARKET, Thursday, July 31, 2008. Two great market moves to the upside for the Indexes with the DJ-30 doing a total of 452 points on our last two up day calls. Again the hourly 50 SMA for the DJ-30 held the markets up on a dip, mid-day, after the brake out, and then sent it to new highs of the day on the close.
Today we show sell signals from or leading pattern indicator for the Indexes. This suggests all the indexes close down today. DJ-30 11,429 becomes our first major support on this dip today with another at 11,316. SP-500 shows major support at 1271 and 1262 QQQQ shows major support at 45.03 and 44.88
DAILY MARKET LIVE CHAT ARCHIVED AT http://www.chartsnchat.com/
THIS PAST WEEK'S MARKET VIDEO POST ON LONGER TERM INDEX MOVES. http://www.optionsuniversitystrategist.com/Davidvideos/08-28-2008/
GOVERNMENT REPORTS
Jul 31 8:30 AM Chain Deflator-Adv. Q2 - 3.0% 2.8% 2.7% - Jul 31 8:30 AM Employment Cost Index Q2 - 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% - Jul 31 8:30 AM GDP-Adv. Q2 - 2.8% 1.8% 1.0% - Jul 31 8:30 AM Initial Claims 07/26 - 380K NA 406K - Jul 31 9:45 AM Chicago PMI Jul - 50.1 49.0 49.6 - Aug 1 12:00 AM Auto Sales Jul - 5.0M NA 4.9M - Aug 1 12:00 AM Truck Sales Jul - 5.0M NA 5.0M - Aug 1 8:30 AM Average Workweek Jul - 33.8 33.7 33.7 - Aug 1 8:30 AM Hourly Earnings Jul - 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% - Aug 1 8:30 AM Nonfarm Payrolls Jul - -40K -68K -62K - Aug 1 8:30 AM Unemployment Rate Jul - 5.5% 5.6% 5.5% - Aug 1 10:00 AM Construction Spending Jun - -0.2% -0.3% -0.4% - Aug 1 10:00 AM ISM Index Jul - 50.5 NA 50.2
MARKET TRENDS
Long Term : 100% BEAR: Weekly failure of 50 SMA, start of Bear, confirmed on failure of Weekly 200 SMA (on 6/26).
Intermediate Term: BEAR: Both failed daily 50 and 200 SMA.
Short Term: BULL[TEMP. ] : Hourly ABOVE the 50 SMA and ABOVE THE 200 SMA.
Market Sector Movers Yesterday ENERGY POLUTION & TREATMENT [ FTEK] CONSUMER SERVICES HEAVY CONSTRUCTION [MDR]
MOBO BREAKOUTS TTES JNY ONNN CSC GNK UA
<$2 Stock AGEN VRNM hit the 50 SCA this did 60% yesterday STSI, LOOKING FOR WAVE 3 FBTX NGEN MRVC
SNAP BACKS UP BGG SYNA BRL
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What could be better - combining business and pleasure may just be the ticket to the vacation of a lifetime - and may even be written off! Take advantage of one full and two half days of At-Sea travel to study with David. Then spend the rest of a wonderful journey exploring with him, dining with him, and picking his brain? at your leisure, all in some of the most wonderful historic places on earth! Ship?s cabins are quite reasonable, and the modest class price of $295 is applicable as a discount off select WallStreetTeachers products*! So CLICK HERE to reserve your spot - hey, can you really afford not to. Then contact Bruce Utter at 1-888-333-3116 , or email him at
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Here's our ITINERARY and a just a bit about each wonderful stop:
Sat 10/4 Venice Italy; depart 5PM
Ah, Venice, truly unique in all the world! Renowned for its ?fluid avenues, where boats provide door to door transportation around the beautiful city. You'll want to come early and spend time wandering along the Grand Canal and over the myriad bridges, through the tiny streets where the only traffic is by foot, into St. Marcos Square...Venice is not a place you'll easily forget.
Sun 10/5 Cruise the Adriatic: Classes held all day
Mon 10/6 Piraeus (Athens) Greece; dock 12, depart 8 PM
Athens, named for the Goddess Athena, became the capital of Greece in 1834. Athens will bring to mind the Golden Age of Greece in the 5th century before Christ, when enormous strides in architecture, literature, math and science, philosophy and medicine were made. Walk in the footsteps of the ancients - Sophocles and Euripides, the great playwrights; Hippocrates, Father of Medicine; Socrates, Plato, and Aristotle, the greatest names in philosophy; and Herodotus, called the Father of History. We'll hold morning classes, then we?ll visit the Parthenon and the Temple of Athena Nike.
Tue 10/7 Mykonos Greece: dock 7 AM, depart 7 PM
According to mythology, Mykonos was where Heracles killed the giants. The rocks around the island are supposedly their corpses! The harbor esplanade is lined with open-air cafes where you may be visited by one of the pelicans who are the island''s mascots; visit the famed windmills, or travel to the little island of Delos, with ruins to rival Delphi and Olympia. Read more about Mykonos Island.
Wed 10/8 Katakolon Greece: dock 12, depart 7 PM
We?ll hold classes in the morning, then spend the rest of the day exploring. Katakolon is basically a port; it's close to the archeological site of Olympia where the ancient Olympic Games were held; and there's an Olympic Museum which promises to be most interesting.
Thu 10/9 Corfu Greece: dock 7 AM, depart 5 PM
Homer's Home: Odysseus? last stop was Corfu, where he was washed ashore when his ship had sunk. The Achilleion Palace was built by the Empress Elizabeth of Austria in 1891, and houses the Terrace of the Muses. Read more about Corfu (Kerkyra).
Fri 10/10 Split Croatia: Arrive 8 AM, depart 6 PM (tendering to and fro)
The Emperor Diocletian was Dalmatia's most outstanding contribution to the Roman Empire. He retired to his birthplace near Split and built a magnificent palace, a fascinating place to explore. Begun in the Third Century, it has been built and rebuilt; now this city within a city displays architecture from the Romanesque to the Baroque.
Sat 10/11 ...and back to Venice Italy: Arrive 7 AM
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Recommend this article... Last update : 31-07-2008 06:10
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