THE ELLIOTT DAILY MARKET COMMENTARY
Monday's market comment
We have confirmed our down signal and moved to below last March lows as the MAP pattern suggested in our commentary from Thursday. Today we show many buy pattern signals for the markets to bounce today with a likely positive close for most if not all the indexes. DJ-30 closed Friday in a Snap back down formation move at the close on the hourly. We should complete that pattern then look for a up move for the daily close. 11,409 and 11,472 are other resistance rally levels. QQQQ is ready to move over the 15 minute 50 a cap for Friday's close. 46.01 is our next resistance. SP-500 1287 and 1298 for the upside resistance.
I am back from my vacation and will do a live chart and chat show at 4:15 PM today for TCNET users, will be archived on Chartsandchat.com within an hour of closing the show.
TODAY'S MARKET, Tuesday Monday gave us a slight bounce from the market lows to show a positive close for the DJ-30, DJ-65, SP-500, NYSE, while the IWM and QQQQ continued to test lows. The hourly snap back down signals for the open Monday, again proved accurate with a new low registered for the DJ-30, before rallying for a positive close. At one point we had a 80 point upside move, but were unable to hold. Today we are getting two day buy signals that suggest today is down with any buying coming in late today or tomorrow. Expectations of the start of a 2-3 day rally at this point look to be dashed on the rocks of worldwide economic slow down signals with London giving bad manufacturing numbers in their opening hours today. That dragged the European exchanges down and sent the Index futures tumbling lower. Long stock ideas are on hold until some positive signals and Index confirmations are in place.
ELN continues higher after 4-5 days of sideways consolidation.
GOVERNMENT REPORTS
Jul 1 12:00 AM Auto Sales Jun - NA NA 5.3M - Jul 1 12:00 AM Truck Sales Jun - NA NA 5.1M - Jul 1 10:00 AM Construction Spending May - -0.5% -0.6% -0.4% - Jul 1 10:00 AM ISM Index Jun - 49.6 NA 49.6 - Jul 2 8:15 AM ADP Employment Jun - - 28K 40K - Jul 2 10:00 AM Factory Orders May - 0.0% 0.6% 1.1% - Jul 2 10:30 AM Crude Inventories 06/28 - NA NA 830K - Jul 3 8:30 AM Average Workweek Jun - 33.8 33.7 33.7 - Jul 3 8:30 AM Hourly Earnings Jun - 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% - Jul 3 8:30 AM Initial Claims 06/28 - 375K NA 384K - Jul 3 8:30 AM Nonfarm Payrolls Jun - -50K -50K -49K - Jul 3 8:30 AM Unemployment Rate Jun - 5.4% 5.4% 5.5% - Jul 3 10:00 AM ISM Services Jun - 52.0 51.5 51.7 -
MARKET TRENDS
Long Term : 100% BEAR: Weekly failure of 50 SMA, start of Bear, confirmed on failure of Weekly 200 SMA (on 6/26).
Intermediate Term: BEAR: Both failed daily 50 and 200 SMA.
Short Term: BEAR : Hourly Below the 50 SMA and BELOW THE 200 SMA.
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Recommend this article... Last update : 01-07-2008 06:11
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